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Wednesday, 29 June 2011

Wimbledon Quarterfinals - results

It was a crazy day at Wimbledon with Jo-Wilfred Tsonga upsetting Roger Federer.  Since I backed Fed, it was still okay since I got out after he was a set up.

Rafa, Novak, and Andy all won today, making all my trades profitable.

I haven't updated my bankroll in awhile.  My new total is £161.50 and I'm up 61.5% since I started this blog.  I'm pretty happy with the results so far, but I'm always looking to improve.

Tomorrow I'm going to back Maria Sharapova v Sabine Lisicki.  I'll trade out of this position as soon as I get a 15-20% profit from my stake.

Men's Quarterfinals - Wimbledon

Today is the Men's quarterfinals action of Wimbledon.  Since there were no men's matches on yesterday I didn't back anyone.

Today, I'm going to back all of the favorites except for Nadal because he could have to retire after his foot injury during his match against del Potro.

So I'll back Djokovic, Federer, and Murray today.

Monday, 27 June 2011

Wimbledon Day 7 - Round of 16!

Today marks the start of the round of 16 matches.

This is where the matches should get a lot tighter for the favorites.

I'm going to start the day by backing,

Juan Martin del Potro v Rafael Nadal

Mardy Fish v Tomas Berdych

David Ferrer v Jo-Wilfred Tsonga

Bernard Tomic v Xavier Malisse

I'll sell out of these positions as soon as there is a decent profit margin.

Tomic/Malisse was up first....

I made a nice profit after Tomic put Malisse down a break on his first service game.

Gasquet pushed Murray to a break point on his first service game.  The line moved from 4.3 (where I backed Gasquet) to 3.0 when Gasquet had the break opportunity.  I sold off for a healthy profit.

Mardy Fish won the first set in his match up with Berdych.  I would've pulled out right at the beginning of the tiebreaker, but Berdych's 1st serve percentage was horrible so I held on until after he won for a bigger profit.

Currently del Potro and Nadal are still on serve, I'm debated whether to sell off or not, but we'll see.

Also, in a rare move to trade on Women's tennis I backed Pironkova v V. Williams.  This turned out well and I sold off after Pironkova's first break on Venus.

Wimbledon Day 6

I didn't do a ton of trading on Saturday for day 6 of Wimbledon.

However, I did back Novak Djokovic after he dropped a set.  I also backed Roger Federer from the beginning of his match.  Overall it was a pretty light day of trading.

Friday, 24 June 2011

Wimbledon Day 5

As suspected David Ferrer played well and finished off Ryan Harrison in 5 sets.

However, as I type Roddick is down 2 sets to love against Feliciano Lopez.  I think he's got a good chance to come back and win this match or even take the next set.  But we will see.  He lost two sets in the tiebreaker which is tough.  Hopefully he makes a comeback.

I lost my stake on Roddick.  It was a tough blow, but I made the mistake of betting on him when I hadn't seen how the play was going.  If I had I would have seen that he was not playing well and Feliciano was playing out of his mind.  I didn't lose much as I didn't place a huge amount on this match.

Otherwise things for today were good.  Gilles Simon took the first set with Del Potro into a tiebreaker, which is where I sold off for a good profit.  I then backed Simon after he lost the first set, and again sold out after he got a break.

Monfils lost the first set which is when I further backed him, as I was watching this match and he came back to win the second to which I made a profit.

I'll update my P/L in the morning and make suggestions for what I did during the Murray match and my picks for tomorrow.

Wimbledon Day 5

I'm in school all afternoon so I can't do very much live trading.

I'd back David Ferrer at 1.35 as I think he'll for sure take the 4th set and then take the fifth as well.

I plan to back some underdogs today.

I'm going to lay Del Potro v Gilles Simon today.  Simon has the ability to play really well and Del Potro hasn't been overly consistent lately.  I will take a profit early if Simon gets up a break or pushes the first set to a tiebreaker or even gets an early break point opportunity depending on the movement of the line.  I'll bail out if he is broken early.

Lastly I plan to back Roddick and Monfils today.

Happy trading!

Wimbledon day 4 - results

Up 11% New Bankroll 129.22

So day four at Wimbledon was awesome.  Having great center court seats was really great.  If you ever get the chance it is an amazing event and I would highly recommend it especially if you enjoy tennis.

My picks for yesterday didn't go exactly as planned, but what in life ever does.  So let's go over what I did wrong.  First, I suspected that Hewitt would be a pushover for Soderling.  After Sodering dropped the first set I backed him further, and then after he dropped the second set I backed him again.  I was a bit uncomfortable going so deep on this, but I knew that Soderling wasn't playing badly and that it was a very tight match.  I thought that he had a very good chance to come back and win in 5 sets.  Thankfully for me I was right.  He won the next three sets and took the match.  I sold off with a modest profit in the 4th set, so I could guarantee profit.  I wished I had held on because I had a solid feeling about Soderling.  Tennis is such a swing sport it's tough to make yourself do things like that though.

2nd I was also wrong about Tomic.  I thought that would be an easy match for him and he dropped the first two sets.  I sold my position after the first set for a small loss because I hadn't seen how Tomic was playing and I didn't want to make a judgement call on just the score alone.  The scoreboard in tennis rarely says what is actually going on.

As I recommended Del Potro came back and won three easy straight sets.

Also Melzer took the first and third sets in his match.  I backed him from the beginning and then sold off after he took the first set.

It was a great day, although I wouldn't recommend live trading from the event unless you have the proper equipment.  I was forced to use the BetFair app for iPhone which was less than desirable for use.