It's been awhile since I've made any posts. I've taken a big break in trading. But I'm back and ready to start blogging about it again. I've started trading again last week with the beginning of the Rogers Cup. This week is the Cincy Masters. I'll post a few picks everyday in terms of pre-match position. I don't plan to do much in-match trading except exiting positions as it's too difficult with the time change and non-live feeds.
Today August 15, 2011
Women's Tournament -- 1st Round
Favorites
Sabine Lisicki @ 1.27 v Shahar Peer -- I would hold this until the first set is over, if Lisicki wins I'd exit the position and if Shahar wins I'd either double down on Lisicki or sell out depending on the stats.
Julia Georges @ 1.83 v Jie Zheng
Dogs (No looks wise in this case, as Pironkova is a classic beauty)
Tsvetana Pironkova @ 2.42 v Christina McHale
Men's Tournament 1st round
Favorites
Alex Bogomolov Jr @ 1.44 v Robby Ginepri
Richard Gasquet @ 1.53 v Alexandr Dolgopolov
Feliciano Lopez @ 1.74 v Juan Carlos Ferrero
Dogs
David Nalbandian @ 2.2 v Kei Nishikori
Fabio Fognini @ 6 v Viktor Troicki
These are the current prices on these. They are likely to move different directions before the match starts so wait for the best price before the match.
When trading it is key for each of you to learn when to trade out. For me I like to use the strategy above, but I have to get a feel for how each player is playing. On any given day any player can beat another because sometimes everything goes right for one player and everything goes wrong for another. Just look at Rafael Nadal's loss last week at the hands of Ivan Dodig. Anything is possible, so trade out when you are comfortable. If you feel the match is going the way you predicted hold with it, but get out when you have a handsome profit. I've learned the hard way, when I could have traded out of a position as a player was serving for the win match and ended up losing.
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