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Wednesday, 17 August 2011

Cincy Masters - Day 3

Men's Tournament
Favorites


Andy Murray @ 1.32 v David Nalbandian
Novak Djokovic @ 1.05 v Ryan Harrison
Rafael Nadal @ 1.09 v Julien Benneteau
Mardy Fish @ 1.46 v Nikolay Davydenko
Radek Stepanek @ 1.36 v Andrey Golubev
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga @ 1.17 v Alex Bogomolov Jr

Dogs


I don't see any in the cards today.  There will likely be one, but I can't choose one today.  I've got a 2:30 flight back to the States today, so I'm going to back these and see what happens.  So today I'm essentially betting instead of trading.  But I'm still confident.

Women's Tournament
Favorites

Serena Williams @ 1.58 v Samantha Stosur

Good luck!!

Tuesday's results -- Good results

Yesterday I went 5 - 0.  If you'd put the same amount on each event, for instance £10, you'd be up £30.5.  A 61.5% increase on the overall investment.  Pretty good days work.  However, I didn't hold on through the entire match, because I like to take winnings when I can.  I ended the day up 24% on my total bankroll.


Tuesday, 16 August 2011

Live Blog - Cincy Masters (Tues)

Tipsarevic donuted Roger-Vasselin in the first set.  So I sold out of that position at 1.05, for a nice gain.  As soon as I see an opportunity that I haven't written about already I will take it and update this post.

Tsonga got up a set so I moved out of that position after that.

Dodig broke Gulbis in the 4 game of the first set, so I sold out for a 60% gain.

On another note, Janko got pushed to a third set and a tiebreaker, this is where I'm glad I sold off in the first set, otherwise I'd be biting my nails about now.




Cincy Masters - Day 2

Today's tournament matches!  I have a few less picks today.  However, I want to stress that you should take these picks and use them as a guide to matches you should either bet on or trade on.  Either way I hope you make money!


Men's Tournament
Favorites
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga @ 1.65 v Marin Cilic
Janko Tipsarevic @ 1.24 v Edourdo Roger-Vasselin

Dogs
Ivan Dodig @ 2.74 v Ernests Gulbis

Women's Tournament
Favorites
Serena Williams @ 1.07 v Lucie Hradecka
Shuai Peng @ 1.35 v Gisela Dulko

Good luck today.  I will try to live blog with opportunities I see.

Day 1 Back - Results

So yesterday was good on the men's front and terrible on the women's.  All my men's picks won and my women's picks lost.  If anyone had bet £10 on all the picks and waiting until the end you'd be up £49.10.

I however didn't do that as I traded out of several of the positions early, so I ended up 22% on my bankroll and I'm up to £152.10.  I will start posting actual trades in the future.

Monday, 15 August 2011

Live Blog - Cincy Masters

Lisicki went down an early break so I doubled down on her at 1.53.  She broke back the very next game so it turned out well.

I also moved out of my Fabio Fognini position after he got up 30 love on Troicki's serve in the 4th game for an 19% profit.  I bought back into Fognini after Troicki almost broke him, I find that players who almost break, but end up having rough games the next game.  Sure enough Fognini broke and won the set, plus he routed Troicki in the 2nd set.  Still shocked that I got 6.2 on Fognini at the start of this match.




I'm back -- Cincy Masters

It's been awhile since I've made any posts.  I've taken a big break in trading.  But I'm back and ready to start blogging about it again.  I've started trading again last week with the beginning of the Rogers Cup.  This week is the Cincy Masters.  I'll post a few picks everyday in terms of pre-match position.  I don't plan to do much in-match trading except exiting positions as it's too difficult with the time change and non-live feeds.

Today August 15, 2011

Women's Tournament -- 1st Round
Favorites
Sabine Lisicki @ 1.27 v Shahar Peer --  I would hold this until the first set is over, if Lisicki wins I'd exit the position and if Shahar wins I'd either double down on Lisicki or sell out depending on the stats.

Julia Georges @ 1.83 v Jie Zheng

Dogs (No looks wise in this case, as Pironkova is a classic beauty)
Tsvetana Pironkova @ 2.42 v Christina McHale

Men's Tournament 1st round
Favorites
Alex Bogomolov Jr @ 1.44 v Robby Ginepri
Richard Gasquet @ 1.53 v Alexandr Dolgopolov
Feliciano Lopez @ 1.74 v Juan Carlos Ferrero

Dogs
David Nalbandian @ 2.2 v Kei Nishikori
Fabio Fognini @ 6 v Viktor Troicki

These are the current prices on these.  They are likely to move different directions before the match starts so wait for the best price before the match.

When trading it is key for each of you to learn when to trade out.  For me I like to use the strategy above, but I have to get a feel for how each player is playing.  On any given day any player can beat another because sometimes everything goes right for one player and everything goes wrong for another.  Just look at Rafael Nadal's loss last week at the hands of Ivan Dodig.  Anything is possible, so trade out when you are comfortable.  If you feel the match is going the way you predicted hold with it, but get out when you have a handsome profit.  I've learned the hard way, when I could have traded out of a position as a player was serving for the win match and ended up losing.