Delray Beach
Isner @ 1.3 v Sweeting
Acapulco
Ramos @ 3 v Wawrinka
Wednesday 29 February 2012
Tuesday 28 February 2012
First picks of the day
Not much to report on except that I had a bad day betting on dogs. I had a list of dogs that I liked that I whittled down to what you see below. I feel like I robbed myself because also on the list was Chiudinelli,
Youzhny, Cipolla. Which I did not end up picking and they all ended up winning, but not every day can be a winning day. Roddick still hasn't won his match yet, although it looks as though he's going to complete a 1 set down comeback.
My first pick tomorrow is (gasp)
F. Lopez @ 14 v Federer - Maybe some of your are thinking that this is a waste of money, but hear me out. Federer has snuck by some close matches recently (Davydenko in Rotterdam) and although he has won 4/6 tournaments he's played in recently Djokovic, Murray, and Rafa barely had a presence at any of them if at all. These courts are super fast which will help Lopez more than Roger. Fed has also been struggling with his return game for awhile and the heavy topspin that Lopez employs from time to time will come into play against Fed's one-handed backhand. It is going to be much closer than these odds suggest.
This is my only pick in Dubai. I will have picks up for Delray Beach and Acapulco closer to their start times.
Youzhny, Cipolla. Which I did not end up picking and they all ended up winning, but not every day can be a winning day. Roddick still hasn't won his match yet, although it looks as though he's going to complete a 1 set down comeback.
My first pick tomorrow is (gasp)
F. Lopez @ 14 v Federer - Maybe some of your are thinking that this is a waste of money, but hear me out. Federer has snuck by some close matches recently (Davydenko in Rotterdam) and although he has won 4/6 tournaments he's played in recently Djokovic, Murray, and Rafa barely had a presence at any of them if at all. These courts are super fast which will help Lopez more than Roger. Fed has also been struggling with his return game for awhile and the heavy topspin that Lopez employs from time to time will come into play against Fed's one-handed backhand. It is going to be much closer than these odds suggest.
This is my only pick in Dubai. I will have picks up for Delray Beach and Acapulco closer to their start times.
Final picks of the day
Acapulco
Ferrero @ 3.05 v Wawrinka
Volandri @ 2.9 v Verdasco
Montanes @ 2.84 v Nishikori
Delray Beach
Petzschner @ 3.05 v Roddick
Happy betting.
Ferrero @ 3.05 v Wawrinka
Volandri @ 2.9 v Verdasco
Montanes @ 2.84 v Nishikori
Delray Beach
Petzschner @ 3.05 v Roddick
Happy betting.
Monday 27 February 2012
Tuesday picks
Nothing yet, but I will have something closer to match time. Nothing on Murray or tsonga.
Final matches of the day in Acapulco, Mexico
These are the first major picks I'm making on clay courts.
Andujar @ 2.08 v L Mayer
Chela @ 1.08 v Ramirez
Starace @ 1.31 v Giannessi
Good luck!
Andujar @ 2.08 v L Mayer
Chela @ 1.08 v Ramirez
Starace @ 1.31 v Giannessi
Good luck!
Sunday 26 February 2012
Monday in Dubai
Golubev @ 1.1 v M Djokovic - Andrey should have no problem taking care of Novak's little brother in his first match on the regular ATP tour in over a year.
Djokovic @ 1.02 v Stebe
Mannarino @ 2.46 v Rosol
Sela @ 1.55 v Kudla
Sweeting @ 2.1 v Young
Haas @ 3.2 v Tomic
Istomin @ 1.44 v Ebden
Djokovic @ 1.02 v Stebe
Mannarino @ 2.46 v Rosol
Sela @ 1.55 v Kudla
Sweeting @ 2.1 v Young
Haas @ 3.2 v Tomic
Istomin @ 1.44 v Ebden
Finals Results
My 1 pick for the day on Del Po hit. His 6-4, 6-4 win over Llodra was about right. I assumed he wouldn't lose two in a row. I wanted to take Ferrer and Raonic as well, but for various reasons I didn't. Although I did bet on Ferrer after he held the 1st game in the second set and traded out at the beginning of the 3rd for a nice 72% profit.
Tomorrow is a new week with tourney's in Dubai, Delray Beach and Acapulco (this is chronological order, not alphabetical). As always I will try to do better this week. Even though I'm happy with last weeks performance.
Picks should be up in the next couple of ours.
Tomorrow is a new week with tourney's in Dubai, Delray Beach and Acapulco (this is chronological order, not alphabetical). As always I will try to do better this week. Even though I'm happy with last weeks performance.
Picks should be up in the next couple of ours.
Saturday 25 February 2012
Semis Results
Semis picks for today were 2/2. It was especially nice since Del Po was a dog against Tsonga. Raonic won with relative ease and it seems like he's in route for back2back titles.
Again I've been very choosy about clay court tourneys as my knowledge of clay courts in general is lacking. I thought about taking Wawrinka and Nalbandian today which would not have been good as Wawrinka lost in 3 and Nalbandian is down a set as I write this.
I'll have picks up tomorrow before the matches start. I'm leaning toward DelPo, Raonic, and Ferrer if he wins but I haven't decided yet.
Again I've been very choosy about clay court tourneys as my knowledge of clay courts in general is lacking. I thought about taking Wawrinka and Nalbandian today which would not have been good as Wawrinka lost in 3 and Nalbandian is down a set as I write this.
I'll have picks up tomorrow before the matches start. I'm leaning toward DelPo, Raonic, and Ferrer if he wins but I haven't decided yet.
Friday 24 February 2012
Thursday 23 February 2012
Tough loss earlier, Western Hemisphere picks
Tough loss on Davydenko v Del Potro. After Davydenko's performance against Fed last week some would say he's back. He did look better, and he did take the first set off of Del Po. I choose to trade out at this point, probably because of how I got burned earlier in the week and secondly because I wasn't sure if Davydenko could take him down in two sets.
Later Bets
Isner @ 1.16 v Young
Rochus @ 3.2 v Harrison
Sweeting @ 3.3 v Stepanek
Later Bets
Isner @ 1.16 v Young
Rochus @ 3.2 v Harrison
Sweeting @ 3.3 v Stepanek
Wednesday 22 February 2012
Results on Wednesday
Today was a great day. First Melzer beat Istomin on an almost straight pick and Malisse upset Roddick in Memphis. Gulbis lost, but it was worth a shot. Raonic had just played a match on Sunday and was going again today against a solid returner in Gulbis, but he didn't. Malisse finally beat Roddick in straights. Roddick has been sucking lately and this comes as no surprise.
Picks for tomorrow will be up shortly before matches.
Picks for tomorrow will be up shortly before matches.
Yesterday's Results
Yesterday was somewhat of a tough day. I won all my picks on Favs and only 1/4 on dogs. The dog that won was a straight sets victory of Sweeting over Blake. Why he was a dog against Blake who hasn't had a match in several weeks is nuts. The other 3 dogs I picked were very close to winning. Any win by one of these guys would have resulted in a positive day, but I guess it wasn't my joss. Hopefully today is better.
Monday 20 February 2012
Marseilles, Memphis, Buenos Aires tournaments
Another week another tourney in Europe, North America, and South America. Ever the split. Flurry of picks for tomorrow. I may add more for Buenos Aires shortly before they start. Check back close to start time on the other matches.
Favorites
Mahut @ 1.37 v Clement
Davydenko @ 1.18 v Beck
Isner @ 1.16 v Muller
Underdogs
Falla @ 2.18 v Querrey
Starace @ 5.1 v Almagro
Sock @ 4.5 v Harrison
Sweeting @ 2.14 v Blake
Favorites
Mahut @ 1.37 v Clement
Davydenko @ 1.18 v Beck
Isner @ 1.16 v Muller
Underdogs
Falla @ 2.18 v Querrey
Starace @ 5.1 v Almagro
Sock @ 4.5 v Harrison
Sweeting @ 2.14 v Blake
Sunday 19 February 2012
Wednesday 15 February 2012
Tuesday 14 February 2012
Lack of picks/Davis Cup results
I have yet to come up with any other picks this week. I lost a tough one on F. Lopez. And I should've taken Huta Galung def Ljubicic. I thought about it and I declined. Ljubicic looked like shit in Zagreb and if you cannot bring it for a tournament in your own country you're not going to win against a hungry Dutchman in his own country.
The Davis Cup picks went as expected, except for Bogomolov. I shouldn't have taken this pick. I should've said look, it's his first Davis Cup match for Russia. He's going to be under a ton of pressure and he hasn't been playing all that well lately. Irregardless, I lost this only pick, but since the others were sure fire favorites I am down on the week. I did however, bet on John Isner in the 4th set at 2.88. Which seemed a ridiculous price given that Federer was having an incredibly difficult time with his serve. Looking back why Federer was such a huge favorite against Isner is beyond me. I know it's on clay and at home in Switzerland. But look at the facts:
1) Isner is so tall that the kick on his serve actually works well on clay. Federer has to jump to get several of them and many went over his head.
2) Federer said it didn't really matter if they won this tie. He wasn't going to play in the next round and they would've needed him to win.
3) Federer's return game is much weaker than his other big 4 brethren. It seems like it used to be much better as he has the highest number of donuts against other players a few years ago. I believe this is because of a lack of actual tournament matches and bc his serve is so good he doesn't need it. With Djoko's return game you'd think it'd have been him, but it wasn't.
I like to reflect on bets that I didn't take and why I should've.
Monday 13 February 2012
Rotterdam Day 1
F Lopez @ 1.35 v Mathieu -- Lopez has been in good form and Mathieu has only had a few matches since his return.
That's my only pick for Rotterdam. I'll have picks up later for San Jose, and Sao Paolo. As well as Davis Cup reflection.
That's my only pick for Rotterdam. I'll have picks up later for San Jose, and Sao Paolo. As well as Davis Cup reflection.
Saturday 11 February 2012
Thursday 9 February 2012
Davis Cup 1st round weekend
Tennis hasn't been on all week and I haven't known what to do with myself. Should be a fun weekend. I'm especially looking forward to watching the US team vs Switzerland. The beauty of betting on Davis Cup is that you a betting on a collective result. You're betting on not just one player in one match you're betting on the performance of 2-4 players between 4 singles matches and 1 doubles match.
Tie betting
Czech Republic @ 1.08 v Italy - The combination of Berdych and Stepanek at singles will surely be too much for the Italian team
Serbia @ 1.01 v Sweden - This is an utter certainty. I can't even imagine why someone would bet against Serbia in this one
Spain @ 1.04 v Kazakhstan - Again this would be a real surprise
Rubbers
Haase @ 1.03 v Paukku
Bogomolov @ 1.35 v Haider-Maurer
Berdych @ 1.04 v Bolelli
Tipsarevic @ 1.02 v Prpic
Almagro @ 1.1 v Golubev
I will make updates tomorrow after all the action is settled. I will likely make some more team picks after the 1st day shakes out.
Tie betting
Czech Republic @ 1.08 v Italy - The combination of Berdych and Stepanek at singles will surely be too much for the Italian team
Serbia @ 1.01 v Sweden - This is an utter certainty. I can't even imagine why someone would bet against Serbia in this one
Spain @ 1.04 v Kazakhstan - Again this would be a real surprise
Rubbers
Haase @ 1.03 v Paukku
Bogomolov @ 1.35 v Haider-Maurer
Berdych @ 1.04 v Bolelli
Tipsarevic @ 1.02 v Prpic
Almagro @ 1.1 v Golubev
I will make updates tomorrow after all the action is settled. I will likely make some more team picks after the 1st day shakes out.
Wednesday 8 February 2012
Results last week.
Last week was overall was a good week. I made a few bad calls, but overall I was 14/20 with a 7.25% gain on the week.
Since there hasn't been any men's matches this week besides challengers I've decided not to make picks. I will make picks for the weekends Davis Cup matches though!
Since there hasn't been any men's matches this week besides challengers I've decided not to make picks. I will make picks for the weekends Davis Cup matches though!
Saturday 4 February 2012
Thursday 2 February 2012
Quarterfinals in Montpellier, Zagreb and Vina del Mar
Gasquet @ 1.41 v Kohlschreiber
That's all for today.
That's all for today.
Results day 3 and 4 of Zagreb, Montpellier, and Vina del Mar
The last 2 days have been good and made up for a weak start to the week.
I went 4/5 on Wed and 1/1 on Thursday. I'm pretty happy with my picks over this period, and feel no need for reflection.
Please let me know if you have comments or questions!
I went 4/5 on Wed and 1/1 on Thursday. I'm pretty happy with my picks over this period, and feel no need for reflection.
Please let me know if you have comments or questions!
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