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Saturday 21 January 2012

Day 7 at the Aussie

Berdych (3-0) @ 2.38 v Almagro - Berdych has a great record against Almagro on hard courts and a decent one on Almagro's preferred surface of clay.  This is a nice price for a straight sets win against Almagro

Nadal (3-0) @ 1.53 v Lopez - Nadal is playing great and seems injury free.  In all their meetings Lopez has only taken 4 sets off of Nadal.  Once on Carpet in '03 when Nadal was 17 and the other time on the grass at the Queen's club just days after Rafa had won the French.  Never at a Slam and never on hard courts.  He also just played a long 5 setter with Isner.

Federer (3-0) @ 1.82 v Tomic - This is a good price for Fed to win in straights.  He's been playing well and shows no signs of a back injury.  Tomic has played Fed once and took a set off of him, but that was at the Davis Cup in Australia on a crappy, soggy grass court where he had practice and time off after his early loss at the US Open.  Whereas Fed had almost no rest after his painful loss to Novak at the US, and had just played a physical 4 setter with Lleyton Hewitt.  Tomic has also played 14 sets this tournament comparted to Federer's 6.  Federer also has the complete game to take on Tomic's constant slice backhands.  If Fed drops a set it will be at worst a minor annoyance.

Happy betting

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