My thoughts on these matches and my picks. I won 2/3 picks today for a small 35% gain on money wagered.
Berdych def. Almagro (3-1) - Berdych beat Almagro in 4 very tight sets today. He lost the 1st one which voided my straights sets pick. I didn't give Almagro much credit as his results on hard court have never been that great. However, the Aussie would be a good place for him to make a stand as the courts are a bit slower. I should have maybe taken that into consideration, but this one could have gone either way and at 2.38 it was still a good call. Things could've gone that way relatively easy.
Nadal def. Lopez (3-0) - No surprise here. Lopez has never taken a set off of Rafa on hard and hasn't taken a set since Rafa was a teenager. With the exception of the Queen's club match that I won't even count as that was right after the French on a different surface that Lopez had time for and game is best suited for.
Federer def. Tomic (3-0) - I'm glad to get vindication on this one, because I thought the price was insane at 1.82. Much more absurd than the 1.53 of Nadal over Lopez. Although many people even some of the announcers suggested that this match was close in the first set, it wasn't. Federer only lost a few points on serve and was owning Tomic's second serve. It was only a matter of time before a break happened, and if not, the breaker would have resulted in a Fed victory. Federer loosened up after the first set and put on a clinical display. Tomic played really well at times especially during a break chance in the 2nd when he was down two breaks that he converted, and again in the 3rd when he was down 1 break which he didn't convert. He pushed Fed around the court a bit, but Feds movement and shot making were far too good.
Pick(s) for tomorrow will be up in several hours.
No comments:
Post a Comment